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Democrats have a 48% to 44% advantage for the week of July 19-25 in Gallup tracking of registered voters' preferences for the 2010 congressional elections. This marks the second straight week in which Democrats have held an edge of at least four percentage points.
Registered voters favor Republicans by 48% and Democrats by 43% in Gallup's generic congressional ballot for the week of July 26 through Aug. 1.
While the five-percentage-point edge for Republicans is not statistically significant, it represents a return to the prevailing 2010 pattern, seen since mid-March, whereby Republicans were tied or held a slight advantage over Democrats in most Gallup Daily tracking weekly averages.
If sustained through Election Day, this competitive positioning for the Republicans among registered voters would point to major seat gains for that party in November given the usual Republican advantage in turnout.
Something for you to ponder.
The spanking democrats took in 1994? The republicans were slightly behind in generic polling on election eve. An actually lead portends disaster for the dems.
.....just as you enjoyed Obama's theoretical Nobel Peace Surprise, his theoretical improving economy, his theoretical experience you used to justify voting for him and his theoretical healthcare savings
error rate +-4
Reps come out on top with measured enthusiasm
The enthusiasm factor is a real concern for Democrats. They better get fired up or it might be as bad for them as the GOP is hoping. If the prospect of tea party candidates doesn't do it for them, then they deserve to take a beating in the fall.
Democrats need to keep beliveing that as we don't vote as a lump sum country in november.
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