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Old 07-17-2008, 05:01 PM
 
Location: Jonquil City (aka Smyrna) Georgia- by Atlanta
16,259 posts, read 24,774,755 times
Reputation: 3587

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Quote:
Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
Hopefully this drop can be sustained and isn't short-lived like the last two have been. There is more at work behind the oil prices than we are lead to believe. I am just guessing, but I fully expect oil to go lower than anybody anticipates as the election approaches.
The election has really not much to do with it. It just so happens that Election Day- at the start of November- is also right at the low point of gas prices. This occurs every year- election or not. Gas begins to fall after the summer driving season ends and demand falls. It falls until it hits a low point in mid November before the holiday travel season kicks off and demand goes back up.
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Old 07-17-2008, 05:03 PM
 
Location: Charlotte, NC (in my mind)
7,943 posts, read 17,261,491 times
Reputation: 4686
Quote:
Originally Posted by TexianPatriot View Post
dude, your predictions are all over the place. stick to something man, even if you are wrong.
I predicted $200 by Labor Day, but then I've always thought there was a good possibility the prices could fall off after that. Since Bush has been President, there has been huge decreases in oil prices near election season. Not sure if there is anything behind that or if its just coincidence. If we start a permanent downtrend now, which is much earlier than I predicted, I think there is a good chance we could be well below $100 by election day. I do think though there is a good chance these prices could reverse themselves and we could be testing $150 again in the coming weeks. Either way, the prices will fall after Labor Day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by KevK View Post
The election has really not much to do with it. It just so happens that Election Day- at the start of November- is also right at the low point of gas prices. This occurs every year- election or not. Gas begins to fall after the summer driving season ends and demand falls. It falls until it hits a low point in mid November before the holiday travel season kicks off and demand goes back up.
Last year prices continued to rise throughout the fall and winter. They fell off in 2005, but nothing like they did in 2004 and in 2006, both election years.
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Old 07-18-2008, 08:57 AM
 
Location: Georgia, on the Florida line, right above Tallahassee
10,471 posts, read 15,839,921 times
Reputation: 6438
I wonder if it has something to do with short selling being curtailed. The markets did react to that.
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Old 07-18-2008, 09:00 AM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,531,102 times
Reputation: 27720
Quote:
Originally Posted by 70Ford View Post
I wonder if it has something to do with short selling being curtailed. The markets did react to that.
Naked short selling is illegal to begin with and I don't understand why the emergency order was put in place when it's not legal to begin with.

In addition this order is only valid for 9 days.

So we have a 9 day emergency order to curtail illegal naked short selling.

Doesn't this bother anyone ?

Naked selling sharply curtailed by SEC - InvestmentNews
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Old 07-18-2008, 02:51 PM
 
Location: SC
9,101 posts, read 16,464,038 times
Reputation: 3620
Quote:
Originally Posted by KevK View Post
Oil and gas continue in free fall! The great oil bubble has finally burst!

Oil markets: Bottoming out or taking a breather? - Yahoo! News (broken link)

Wall Street is happy again! Stocks up 500 points in 2 days!

Wall Street surges again on falling energy prices: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance (http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080717/wall_street.html - broken link)

Housing starts WAY up in June!

June housing starts up 9.1 pct; NY code cited - Yahoo! News (broken link)
I think you should read the entire article you are recommending. It says single family home purchases were down 4 percent for June.
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Old 07-18-2008, 03:08 PM
 
Location: America
6,993 posts, read 17,374,982 times
Reputation: 2093
Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
I think you should read the entire article you are recommending. It says single family home purchases were down 4 percent for June.
You are crushing peoples hopes and dreams. They have to have something to hold on to, even if its a fantasy.
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Old 07-18-2008, 05:55 PM
 
Location: Texas
8,064 posts, read 18,015,743 times
Reputation: 3730
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wild Style View Post
You are crushing peoples hopes and dreams. They have to have something to hold on to, even if its a fantasy.
Yeah, but the incessant cheer-leading isn't indicative of most Americans' budgets and financial situations right now. So, I find it insulting. I certainly don't relish "doom and gloom," but the more these people yell, "Yay, economy!" the more our delightful elected officials can bury their heads in the sand.
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Old 07-18-2008, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Texas
5,012 posts, read 7,876,358 times
Reputation: 5698
I love me some suckers. It's like taking candy from a baby. Keep hyping this market yall. The higher the fake rally goes, the bigger the fall. I love it. Bear trap baby!!!
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