[Cambium]

Interesting!


A look at Bridgeport's monthly average temp departure from normal since records began.


Only 1 month was 8+ above normal (Dec 2015) but there's been 6 months with 8+ below normal. I never knew this.

If you use the +/-6 degree mark .. 12 months were 6+ above normal, 21 months were 6+ below normal.

Interesting to note thought that the 12 months above normal mostly came after 1990

And we were right that we used to have front loaded winters. Look at the orange triangles. More were below normal in the past. We used to have cold snowier Decembers.

[Cambium]

Just so unmotivating....and frustrating. Lunchtime and again cloudy and 40s.


So many projects to do like this.. And guess what... started drizzling.







I give up. Crawling into a hole until October when we will just start all this over again.

[Cambium]

<sigh>

National Weather Service New York NY
1235 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

The main upper level jet will remain south of the region through
Friday.

For tonight:

Two more shortwaves pivot across the region in the mid levels. So
despite the surface low moving farther away to the south of Nova
Scotia, the region will remain in cyclonic flow aloft. The chances
for precipitation while much lower than earlier in the day,
will be still be present mainly during the evening. Cold air
advection on the backside could result in a light rain/snow mix
across some parts of the interior, especially higher terrain. No
snow accumulation is expected. Otherwise, the precipitation
will end as rain.

For overnight, more drying takes over with the persistent NW
flow.


.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NW flow aloft Friday night. With no shortwave embedded in the flow
progged to impact the region, have continued with the dry forecast.
Lows Friday night should be around 5-10 degrees below normal.

A couple of northern stream 700-500 hPa shortwaves push through the
area Saturday and Saturday night as the rotate around the base of a
closed low over the Canadian Maritimes. With relative dry low levels
and downsloping boundary layer flow, the shortwaves should pass
through dry. Highs on Saturday and low Saturday night should be
around 5-10 degrees below normal.

Deep layered ridging then begins to builds in Sunday and continues
to ridge over the area through Tuesday. Subsidence associated with
the ridge should keep things dry and relatively (if not totally)
cloud free during this time frame. Highs Sunday-Tuesday run a few
degrees below normal and lows during this time frame run 5-10
degrees below normal.

Noting that 1) the GFS has a known progressive bias in the long term
and 2) that the upper level pattern features closed lows and fairly
sharp ridges - both of which support a less progressive pattern -
favor the slower lifting of the ridge axis to the NE and arrival of
the next system in the ECMWF/CMC Global than the more progressive GFS
handling of both features. The forecast Tuesday night-Wednesday is
based on a blend of the ECMWF/CMC Global as a result.

Tuesday night should be dry as the deep layered ridge axis lifts to
the northeast. Most of Wednesday should probably be dry as well, but
to keep things simple, given the inherent uncertainty this far out,
have run chance pops the entire period for some warm advection
induced rains. Lows Tuesday night should be near to slightly above
normal and highs on Wednesday a few degrees below normal.

[Cambium]

Mid Afternoon 3:45pm 40s from Philly to Boston. Normal max in Philly is 66° today.


Snowing in Areas of NY during the day. Check out Whiteface Mountain in the ADKs.

Check out why its so cold over us.

I see a break in the clouds. We have 3 hrs left to warm up with any sun that shines through.

[papafox]

Why the hell are we stuck in this pattern??? This is the worst April I can ever remember

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by papafox

Why the hell are we stuck in this pattern??? This is the worst April I can ever remember

Worst since 1970s i'll have some stats soon.

Why? Simple answer is that the Jet stream keeps dipping in the east and sending down Canadian air. Air that is travelling over frozen lakes and snow covered landscapes.

The complex answer... The sun has been very quiet. The Clouds. The Polar Vortex. The mid levels. The NAO. The Nina. The law of averages.

[Cambium]

I truely believe this has an affect and part of the cause.. A lagging affect. Maybe that low peak is starting to play a role. Read on.

https://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...-thread-2.html

[Cambium]

I couldn't believe my eyes. It was raining again as I was in Greenwich but then I noticed something different with the drops in Stamford.... Frozen stuff!!





SLUSH! Nothing stuck of course but another day of "TRACE" in my books! Even though it wasn't in my backyard I'm logging it down!





Then literally 5 minutes away in Stamford still... Dry..and some sun
Instability from the cold air aloft and the hills creating some interesting weather

[Cambium]

Just look at this flow. Crazy. 7.5 feet of snow on Mansfield, VT at 4400'. Glacier forming? Lol

Record snow depth in Toronto too. What a spring pattern.

4-8pm loop

[CT_Native]

I can report light snow in Storrs. Winds calm