That first flash flood risk map above is the % chance of seeing flash flooding within 25 miles of any given point.
Sat 13July2019 5pEDT/4pCDT: Winds 65mph, moving NNW 7mph, pressure 997mb. Continuing to slowly weaken now that broad center is over land. Expected to become a Tropical Depression (Winds 38mph or less) sometime Sunday, so downed trees and power lines threat will lessen then but anywhere grounds saturated could be possible. Hurricane Warning has become Tropical Storm Warning. Tropical Storm Warning east of the mouth of the Mississippi River has been discontinued.
Obs:
Winds:
-Cypremort Point, LA sustained 62mph (USGS)
-Eugene Island, LA sustained 55mph, gust 72mph (NOAA)
-New Iberia, LA sustained 45mph, gust 61mph (Acadiana Regional Airport)
Power outages:
LA: 129,000+
MS: 2,600+
AL: 2,900+
Rain:
-Radar estimated 4-6inches has fallen just South of Mobile through Dauphin Island and offshore.
-Radar estimated 4-6inches has fallen JUST off SE tip of LA, SE of Pilottown, LA.
-Radar estimated 6-8inches has fallen JUST offshore near coastal March Island (S of Lafayette, LA).
-VERY heavy bands of rain still trying to rotate on up into the coast. This is a SSLLLOOOWW moving storm. Whoever gets rain can get a lot quickly. Likely will be sharp cutoffs in final totals where go a few miles and you may go from only some rain to widespread flooding.
Surge via Weather Channel:
Amerada Pass: +6.2ft
Eugene Island: +4.9ft
Lake Pontchartrain: +3.0ft
Here is drone video of some of the Plaquemines Parish, LA levee over-topping, looks like people calling it a 'back' levee, so smaller earthen ones. Over-topping can eat away and cause levees to fail.
https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/st...44246252355584
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