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Old 04-16-2024, 04:46 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,693 posts, read 12,772,161 times
Reputation: 19261

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Quote:
Originally Posted by shellymdnv View Post
Saying Trump has a voter enthusiasm advantage is no different than saying "Look how many people show up at Trump rallies vs Biden rallies." Unless you can point to some proof to back up you believe, I don't think that voter enthusiasm has a direct correlation to voter turnout. Look at how many people have said "I don't like Donald Trump but I like his policies". If anything is going to hurt Trump is his lack of policy talk beyond I'll do XYZ again.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...nthusiasm-gap/

https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-pre...ion-rcna117132

https://www.texastribune.org/2024/03...024-primaries/

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics...022-elections/

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...g/73300694007/

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/0...-dems-00021774

I realize Texas & Florida are Red states, but I include them because they are both top 4 states.

New York is a long shot for Trump, but his traditional 20 pt deficit has shrunk to just 10 points with ~7 months to go...Trump has momentum in New York. 1 more big terrorist attack on NYC by illegals, & that 10 point gap could be closed.
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Old 04-16-2024, 08:39 PM
 
Location: Silver Spring, MD
2,120 posts, read 1,788,050 times
Reputation: 2287
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...nthusiasm-gap/

https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-pre...ion-rcna117132

https://www.texastribune.org/2024/03...024-primaries/

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics...022-elections/

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...g/73300694007/

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/0...-dems-00021774

I realize Texas & Florida are Red states, but I include them because they are both top 4 states.

New York is a long shot for Trump, but his traditional 20 pt deficit has shrunk to just 10 points with ~7 months to go...Trump has momentum in New York. 1 more big terrorist attack on NYC by illegals, & that 10 point gap could be closed.

None of these seem to prove your point. The best example of low enthusiasm leading to low turnout would be a decrease in voter turnout in the primaries. In addition you would have to compare Democratic turnout it to Trump's turnout in 2020 or Obama's in 2012.
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Old 04-16-2024, 10:53 PM
 
Location: az
13,688 posts, read 7,973,244 times
Reputation: 9380
Humm...

Quote:
What To Make of Biden’s Rise in the Polls?

Two final points are worth noting.First, the movement toward Democrats hasn’t so much been a story of Trump’s poll numbers declining as it has been of Biden’s poll numbers improving. Trump’s vote share has generally been trading between 45.5% and 47%, while Biden seems to have broken out of the 43%-45% range he’d been stuck in since early 2023. Again, this seems broadly consistent with the idea of Democrats who don’t particularly care for Biden resigning themselves to the fact that for better or for worse, he’s the guy. We might also take this as evidence for the theory that Trump has a “ceiling” of 47%. I still don’t think it’s a particularly compelling story, but the evidence for it seems stronger than it did a few months ago.

Finally, we should remember that a narrow popular vote win, or even a narrow popular vote loss, is likely to produce a Trump win in the Electoral College. Obviously, we don’t know for sure that Trump will benefit from the electoral vote skew again this time, but it’s consistent with the state-level polling we’ve seen. Also, the tendency has been for Trump to overperform his polls, although we should be cautious about drawing strong conclusions from two datapoints.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/sto...cid=a18eb8e420
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Old 04-17-2024, 01:20 AM
 
10,726 posts, read 4,334,730 times
Reputation: 5797
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewtownBucks View Post
Trump supporters are not quieter than ever. LMAO. The Trump cult is as loud as obnoxious as they have ever been. He's brainwashed millions of people into believing the election fraud nonsense, that the Jan 6 insurrectionists are patriotic heroes for putting him ahead of our country itself, and that all 90 felony charges he's facing in four different cases are part of a political witch hunt even though it's pretty obvious that he's guilty of every one of them. The cult is trumpeting their support of their aggrieved Dear Leader all over everywhere they can, even threatening a new civil war if their incompetent malignant narcissist con-man isn't elected dictator.
Trump supporters are almost non-existent online.
Do you see anyone on this forum with MAGA in their username other than me?
The Supreme Court confirmed Jan 6 was a riot, not the insurrection nonsense parroted by Democrats the same as their Russiagate delusions...
Plus what percentage of Trump supporters were even involved in jan 6? Almost none.
The polls confirm that America is not falling for your nonsense.
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Old Yesterday, 11:31 AM
 
1,388 posts, read 909,333 times
Reputation: 2067
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Trump supporters are almost non-existent online.
Do you see anyone on this forum with MAGA in their username other than me?
The Supreme Court confirmed Jan 6 was a riot, not the insurrection nonsense parroted by Democrats the same as their Russiagate delusions...
Plus what percentage of Trump supporters were even involved in jan 6? Almost none.
The polls confirm that America is not falling for your nonsense.
Do you read this message board? While they may not have MAGA in their user name (because this isn't a political board overall), there are plenty of people trumpeting how Trump is the only savior for the country. One person in this thread called him "anointed by God". Right, a twice divorced philanderer with 5 kids by three women under indictment for paying off a porn star and who is hocking fake Bibles fro $60 a pop to his gullible cult following is most certainly the most Godly man in the country. It's really sad how many people have been brainwashed into worshipping this flaming turd of a person (and I say that as a Republican, so it's not a partisan thing with me - Biden is unacceptable as well).
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Old Today, 02:10 AM
 
10,726 posts, read 4,334,730 times
Reputation: 5797
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewtownBucks View Post
Do you read this message board? While they may not have MAGA in their user name (because this isn't a political board overall), there are plenty of people trumpeting how Trump is the only savior for the country. One person in this thread called him "anointed by God". Right, a twice divorced philanderer with 5 kids by three women under indictment for paying off a porn star and who is hocking fake Bibles fro $60 a pop to his gullible cult following is most certainly the most Godly man in the country. It's really sad how many people have been brainwashed into worshipping this flaming turd of a person (and I say that as a Republican, so it's not a partisan thing with me - Biden is unacceptable as well).
People have also claimed Obama, Clinton and Biden are America's only hope, and Biden himself claims that voting for him is "saving democracy".
And the internet overall is rife with Trump haters, whether I'm on a sports forum or a political chat room, its very obvious the Trump haters rule online activity and obviously the media too.
The only gullible cult I see is lifelong Democrat voters who thought Obama, Clinton and Biden would make life better for minorities...
And what do you have against more people buying any version of the bible? Nothing bad can come from this. Whether you want Trump to receive money or not, there is no downside to more people having bibles.
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Old Today, 11:08 AM
 
3,142 posts, read 2,043,923 times
Reputation: 4885
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewtownBucks View Post
Do you read this message board? While they may not have MAGA in their user name (because this isn't a political board overall), there are plenty of people trumpeting how Trump is the only savior for the country. One person in this thread called him "anointed by God". Right, a twice divorced philanderer with 5 kids by three women under indictment for paying off a porn star and who is hocking fake Bibles fro $60 a pop to his gullible cult following is most certainly the most Godly man in the country. It's really sad how many people have been brainwashed into worshipping this flaming turd of a person (and I say that as a Republican, so it's not a partisan thing with me - Biden is unacceptable as well).
I really can't take anything those super-MAGA types say all that seriously. They are really the same people that would have followed Jim Jones down to Guyana and drank the Kool-Aid - they are attracted to the strongman archetype - they need one to tell them what to do and think. It's bizarre, but every society has a cross section of these types of people. The issue is if/when they get power.
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Old Today, 03:19 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,606 posts, read 6,894,659 times
Reputation: 16502
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Clutch View Post
I really can't take anything those super-MAGA types say all that seriously. They are really the same people that would have followed Jim Jones down to Guyana and drank the Kool-Aid - they are attracted to the strongman archetype - they need one to tell them what to do and think. It's bizarre, but every society has a cross section of these types of people. The issue is if/when they get power.
I really can't take anything the Democrat rubber-stamps say all that seriously. They are really the same people that would have followed Jim Jones down to Guyana and drank the Kool-aid - they are attracted to big government and big media - they need authorities to tell them what to do and think. The best examples of that are COVID times, and how they believed the Russian collusion lie for years and probably still believe it. It's bizarre, but every society has a cross section of these types of people. The issue is that these bizarre lunatics are in charge of the Oval Office, several important states, the Senate, and every major media outlet and most universities and corporations.
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