More people are moving into Washington than leaving (Seattle: movers, high income)

[WestGuest]

The UHaul numbers are far from official and do not represent necessarily permanent movers. From this you get an uneducated Trumper to actually explain causation LOL


I just knew Ricarguy would be there with his illiterate rantings, so I checked and added this. A person's credibility can be improved if they get that GED.




The official figures, and they are done by demographers who have to get it right and use approved methodology, is that In-migration is, and has been about 80,000, in each of the past several years. That's a lot -too much. The forecast is for it to level out to about 50,000 new residents per year- still too much unless they all go east but that's just my opinion.


https://ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-r...ation-forecast

[WestGuest]

and here's more from the World Population Review



"According to current projections, Washington's population will reach 8.9 million by 2040, with migration contributing 59% of this increase, while the remaining 41% will be contributed by natural increases (or the number of births minus the number of deaths). While 14% of Washington's total population is now over the age of 65, this percentage will climb to 21% by 2040, which will have serious impacts on planning and policy-making for the state as a whole".


https://worldpopulationreview.com/st...ton-population

[xPlorer48]

Originally Posted by WestGuest

The UHaul numbers are far from official and do not represent necessarily permanent movers. From this you get an uneducated Trumper to actually explain causation LOL


I just knew Ricarguy would be there with his illiterate rantings, so I checked and added this. A person's credibility can be improved if they get that GED.




The official figures, and they are done by demographers who have to get it right and use approved methodology, is that In-migration is, and has been about 80,000, in each of the past several years. That's a lot -too much. The forecast is for it to level out to about 50,000 new residents per year- still too much unless they all go east but that's just my opinion.


https://ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-r...ation-forecast

There is no need to slander another CD Forum member.

[zerp]

Washington will continue to benefit from California and Oregon residents leaving high income tax states.

These are people who are generally left leaning, don’t mind being locked down, earn good/great income and like the climate.

[WestGuest]

Originally Posted by xPlorer48

There is no need to slander another CD Forum member.

Slander implies that my comments are not correct.

[WestGuest]

Zerp do you have any data on that? My guess is California residents are also leaving as they retire if they can find a lot more land -house for their buck. SW Washington is green but undiscovered-soon RE prices will be increasing.


Also some Californians are leaving because of the fires and in many of those smaller non-metro counties California is solidly GOP and Conservative.


Did you know more California Counties vote GOP than Dem? The larger ones however make the difference.

[zerp]

Originally Posted by WestGuest

Zerp do you have any data on that? My guess is California residents are also leaving as they retire if they can find a lot more land -house for their buck. SW Washington is green but undiscovered-soon RE prices will be increasing.


Also some Californians are leaving because of the fires and in many of those smaller non-metro counties California is solidly GOP and Conservative.


Did you know more California Counties vote GOP than Dem? The larger ones however make the difference.

https://www.northamerican.com/moving...-to-washington
https://californiamoversusa.com/reso...om-california/
https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com...-are-moving-to

[Bluefox]

Originally Posted by WestGuest

The UHaul numbers are far from official and do not represent necessarily permanent movers. From this you get an uneducated Trumper to actually explain causation LOL


I just knew Ricarguy would be there with his illiterate rantings, so I checked and added this. A person's credibility can be improved if they get that GED.




The official figures, and they are done by demographers who have to get it right and use approved methodology, is that In-migration is, and has been about 80,000, in each of the past several years. That's a lot -too much. The forecast is for it to level out to about 50,000 new residents per year- still too much unless they all go east but that's just my opinion.


https://ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-r...ation-forecast

If you think that Washington population growth isn’t a good thing why do you need to go to all this trouble to prove it’s true?

[WestGuest]

Originally Posted by Bluefox

If you think that Washington population growth isn’t a good thing why do you need to go to all this trouble to prove it’s true?

It depends where the growth is and how fast. Some places need more people and are losing population while others are becoming too crowded. When I said "over 80,000 a year" may be too much its because traditionally they go to the Seattle Area-- have you ever driving.



To answer your question specifically however, the UHall methodology is faulty and relied on by more ignorant people. Demographics is an established academic field with required training. The results are not as important as the process.

[WestGuest]

ZERP - learn just a little about methodology and secondary sources. Take 5 minutes and go the state data methodology page and see if you can figure it out. Also google why anecdotal evidence is not reliable.




Washington is growing and will continue to grow. Get it?