Projections for New Yorks 1st 2nd and 4th congressional districts (house, live in)

[Kmacballbag]

We already have a thread about Santos so there’s no need to discuss projections for what will happen with New Yorks 3rd house seat but let’s talk about the 1st, 2nd and 4th house seats which along with district 3 all represent Long Island. I live in district 3 and as much as I love where I live I hate that I am stuck with Santos as a rep. I want either Josh Lafazan, Zak Malamad, Tom Suozzi or Ryan Kalata to represent my district. A lot of you folks are probably wondering well who’s Ryan Kalata? Well as I said in the Santos thread he’s someone I know through mutual friends. He is running in the race and has great standpoints. It’s just a matter of how well he’ll perform on the campaign trails and if he gets on the ticket.

In the first congressional district which is currently represented by Nick Lalota I see strong odds of him being re-elected unless he’s voted out in a primary election or the democrats find a candidate that’ll win the districts vote but I think since that district leans slightly republican Nick has a strong shot at winning but maybe not. I have friends and family that live in his district and some of them don’t like the texts and emails they get from him. One friend even said he won’t vote for him because of that. Don’t know a lot about him but I’m glad he’s co-sponsoring a bill to get Santos expelled.

In the 2nd congressional district I feel that as long as Andrew Garbarino doesn’t get primary challengers or wins his primary he’ll be win and serve for a 3rd term. Last election cycle he had primary opponents who called him out on some of the bills he voted with the democrats on like the bi-partisan infrastructure bill and the J6 committee establishment claiming that he votes with the “radical left” but he won his primary despite not being there to debate his opponents. He was endorsed by Pete King who represented that district for multiple terms. King was my rep at one point in time. I didn’t agree with Pete all the time but I liked him for how he knew to work with colleagues despite political differences. His successor Andrew Garbarino is moderate republican and is likeable in my books. He’s pretty much Pete King Jr if you wanna say that.

And last but not least district 4 another seat that flipped from blue to red and is a key seat that democrats have their eyes and ears on. This one is toss-up I think Anthony D’Esposito has a 50/50 chance of winning this seat only because this district is slight more democratic and some feel that the unexpected departure of Kathleen Rice has a lot to do with why this seat flipped and Laura Gillen not having enough time to really get out there and campaign. But it was a close race. I will say that I am happy that D’Esposito introduced a bill to expell Santos. I know all democrats will vote yes on it but one thing they may be up against members of the Republican Party voting no because they need Santos to keep their majority and if they lose him the seat could go back to a democrat and I know they’re all about keeping the house and the democrats are all about taking it back. We’ll see I guess time will tell.

Please feel free to share your thoughts.

[agw123]

Vote RED... .Voting BLUE means more D spew

[kmrlongisland]

Originally Posted by Kmacballbag

We already have a thread about Santos so there’s no need to discuss projections for what will happen with New Yorks 3rd house seat but let’s talk about the 1st, 2nd and 4th house seats which along with district 3 all represent Long Island. I live in district 3 and as much as I love where I live I hate that I am stuck with Santos as a rep. I want either Josh Lafazan, Zak Malamad, Tom Suozzi or Ryan Kalata to represent my district. A lot of you folks are probably wondering well who’s Ryan Kalata? Well as I said in the Santos thread he’s someone I know through mutual friends. He is running in the race and has great standpoints. It’s just a matter of how well he’ll perform on the campaign trails and if he gets on the ticket.

In the first congressional district which is currently represented by Nick Lalota I see strong odds of him being re-elected unless he’s voted out in a primary election or the democrats find a candidate that’ll win the districts vote but I think since that district leans slightly republican Nick has a strong shot at winning but maybe not. I have friends and family that live in his district and some of them don’t like the texts and emails they get from him. One friend even said he won’t vote for him because of that. Don’t know a lot about him but I’m glad he’s co-sponsoring a bill to get Santos expelled.

In the 2nd congressional district I feel that as long as Andrew Garbarino doesn’t get primary challengers or wins his primary he’ll be win and serve for a 3rd term. Last election cycle he had primary opponents who called him out on some of the bills he voted with the democrats on like the bi-partisan infrastructure bill and the J6 committee establishment claiming that he votes with the “radical left” but he won his primary despite not being there to debate his opponents. He was endorsed by Pete King who represented that district for multiple terms. King was my rep at one point in time. I didn’t agree with Pete all the time but I liked him for how he knew to work with colleagues despite political differences. His successor Andrew Garbarino is moderate republican and is likeable in my books. He’s pretty much Pete King Jr if you wanna say that.

And last but not least district 4 another seat that flipped from blue to red and is a key seat that democrats have their eyes and ears on. This one is toss-up I think Anthony D’Esposito has a 50/50 chance of winning this seat only because this district is slight more democratic and some feel that the unexpected departure of Kathleen Rice has a lot to do with why this seat flipped and Laura Gillen not having enough time to really get out there and campaign. But it was a close race. I will say that I am happy that D’Esposito introduced a bill to expell Santos. I know all democrats will vote yes on it but one thing they may be up against members of the Republican Party voting no because they need Santos to keep their majority and if they lose him the seat could go back to a democrat and I know they’re all about keeping the house and the democrats are all about taking it back. We’ll see I guess time will tell.

Please feel free to share your thoughts.

Lafazan? Suozzi? Those two are comical. Both are Biden mini-me's. Lafazan is a do nothing hard core politician.