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A great gauge of just how much of an anti-Trump vote there is even among republicans, Nikki Haley dropped out of the race almost 2 weeks ago, and yet she's still getting double-digit vote percentages in most of the GOP primaries since then.
Some of these might be mail-in ballots that were filled out and returned before Haley dropped out, but likely not all of them. After all, republicans tend to prefer same-day, in-person voting - right?
With most of the results in from today's races, here are Haley's percentages as I write this:
1 out of 5 Arizona republicans voted for someone, Haley, who is not even running over Trump. That is higher than Washington. Trump is going to have trouble in Arizona in November.
Well Trump did say he did not want Haley supporters supporting him. This is going to be a close election either way and the GOP can't afford to alienate voters in their own party.
I'm one of the 13% in the great state of GA. I voted early in case she dropped out by the date of the GA primaries a week after Super Tuesday, which she did.
the concern of her supporters were non trivial. The numbers of her supporters was non tricial.
An opponent (like someone whose name rhymes with hidin' ) would capitalize on that and address her stance. But that would be smart, instead that opponent chose to insult and demean her supporters almost as much as the frontrunner did.
So do they stay home and defacto cut their own throats, or hold noses and support the gop frontrunner.
If people surprise me and adopt RATIONAL thought, trump wins in a landside. But I am used to not being surprised in this way.
Haley got 20% of the Republican vote in Arizona, but looking in closer detail it is even more problematic for Trump. In the affluent suburbs of eastern Maricopa county - solid Republican territory, Haley got closer to 30-40% of the vote. This is the part of Maricopa county that tipped it to Biden in 2020. It seems poised to do that again.
Haley got 20% of the Republican vote in Arizona, but looking in closer detail it is even more problematic for Trump. In the affluent suburbs of eastern Maricopa county - solid Republican territory, Haley got closer to 30-40% of the vote. This is the part of Maricopa county that tipped it to Biden in 2020. It seems poised to do that again.
That is good information. However, anything can happen still in these close race states though and I think who Trump selects as VP can make the difference for those in the center right who hold their nose to vote for Trump or not vote, or vote Biden. I don’t think he will chose anyone like Haley but a selection of Tim Scott is very different pick than Vivek R or a MAGA politician didn’t certify Biden in 2020.
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