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Old 04-19-2024, 08:39 PM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,170,598 times
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QQQ closed today at 414.65 ... 2 years and 5 months ago..the QQQ closed at 403..99 ..that is a 2.6 percent growth before dividends in the last 2 years and 5 months. Now I know you can cherry pick any starting point. But off the previous AH that's not as impressive as one might think. Dividends not added in.
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Old 04-20-2024, 08:44 AM
 
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I hear this argument a lot. And while true, measuring performance based off of the last all-time high is kind of pointless. Markets go up and down. Sometimes prolonged bear markets happen. We had a bubble in 2021 driven by zero interest rates. Interest rates are much higher now, so markets climbing back to only 2.6% higher than before is actually a decent accomplishment in my view. You also had 2 years to average in more money.
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Old 04-20-2024, 09:15 AM
 
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as we discussed in another thread for millions of retirees there is no more added money .

if we live below our income capability any income streams we have only reduce what we don’t have to pull out to live on .

so appreciation over the first five years is very important when new money stops
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Old 04-21-2024, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Bellevue
3,055 posts, read 3,324,138 times
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Measuring performance over 2 or 3 years means nothing. Performance over 10 years may mean something.

QQQ tracks the Nasdaq 100. You have to compare it to S&P 500. Some decades it may do better. Other decades it may do worse.

For all the hoopla maybe your total portfolio could have 3 or more funds.
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Old Yesterday, 11:01 AM
 
Location: moved
13,660 posts, read 9,727,106 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GWoodle View Post
Measuring performance over 2 or 3 years means nothing. Performance over 10 years may mean something.

QQQ tracks the Nasdaq 100. You have to compare it to S&P 500. Some decades it may do better. Other decades it may do worse.

For all the hoopla maybe your total portfolio could have 3 or more funds.
Two or three years may be "nothing" if embedded in a 40-50 year investment history. But you see, our recent narrative has been a vigorously unbridled (and from some corners, unjustified) bull market - especially in tech. To review the data and to find very muted gains even in the superstar sector, punctures the bull-market narrative. It has been a tumultuous, volatile market... currently doing OK. It is cause neither for grief nor for elation.... and certainly not for "hoopla".

Meanwhile there are the small-caps stocks, down thoroughly from their high 3+ years ago.
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Old Yesterday, 12:48 PM
 
2,605 posts, read 2,295,894 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
QQQ closed today at 414.65 ... 2 years and 5 months ago..the QQQ closed at 403..99 ..that is a 2.6 percent growth before dividends in the last 2 years and 5 months. Now I know you can cherry pick any starting point. But off the previous AH that's not as impressive as one might think. Dividends not added in.
The chart you are looking at has a 2 1/2 year history. The market bottomed in October 2022, the one year chart is better.
https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/...t-growth-etfs#

Last edited by organic_donna; Yesterday at 01:03 PM..
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Old Yesterday, 02:18 PM
 
106,729 posts, read 108,937,910 times
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january 2022 to april 1 2024 , 100k in QQQ with dividends is 113,346 . a 5.73% cagr

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/...kyn402F2qcXuKe
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Old Today, 05:10 AM
 
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Longer time horizon for QQQ.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billi...091200290.html
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