2040 SC Metro Projections
Posted 04-08-2017 at 11:56 PM by The QC
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jandrew5
It is no surprise that most people are moving S and W, it has been that way the last few decades. But that does not mean no one is moving to the NE and MW. They are, just not as fast. Conversely, the NE and MW are losing more than the SE and W. Either way, all 4 regions are still growing.
That "shrinking cities" list doesn't tell the whole picture. For one, most of those counties and metros that these cities are in have not shrunk. That again goes back to white flight/suburban boom and loss of core jobs. Atlanta, hub of the south, went through the same thing. So did Charleston, Birmingham, San Francisco, Saint Louis, Denver and so on.
Plenty of other non-Northern cities would've faced the same issue, but they masked it by city/county consolidations or large annexes. Nashville is one. Jacksonville was able to annex an area of 874 sq miles. Nowhere in the North can you do that. Charlotte has consistently spread as well.
And I still don't see what rural populations have to do anything. Rural is shrinking everywhere. Pretty sure it's shrinking faster in the South, again considering the South is more rural by nature. As I showed, SC has been majority urban since 1980. Most of it is natives moving around.
I don't know why you want to paint such a dire picture for the North. It's not going anywhere. Population +/- does not tell the whole story. Going back to Detroit: on paper it looks horrendous, but if you actually research into it and see, the city is starting to rebound and the metro as a whole is fine. Again, same for Buffalo city. And looking at GDP, the Northeast had a 1.65% average GDP gain in 2014. The SE had 1.7%, 0.5% higher. But the North still has a much higher GDP per capita and nominal GDP than the South and West. That's not going to suddenly vanish along with the snowbirds.
The North will be fine.
That "shrinking cities" list doesn't tell the whole picture. For one, most of those counties and metros that these cities are in have not shrunk. That again goes back to white flight/suburban boom and loss of core jobs. Atlanta, hub of the south, went through the same thing. So did Charleston, Birmingham, San Francisco, Saint Louis, Denver and so on.
Plenty of other non-Northern cities would've faced the same issue, but they masked it by city/county consolidations or large annexes. Nashville is one. Jacksonville was able to annex an area of 874 sq miles. Nowhere in the North can you do that. Charlotte has consistently spread as well.
And I still don't see what rural populations have to do anything. Rural is shrinking everywhere. Pretty sure it's shrinking faster in the South, again considering the South is more rural by nature. As I showed, SC has been majority urban since 1980. Most of it is natives moving around.
I don't know why you want to paint such a dire picture for the North. It's not going anywhere. Population +/- does not tell the whole story. Going back to Detroit: on paper it looks horrendous, but if you actually research into it and see, the city is starting to rebound and the metro as a whole is fine. Again, same for Buffalo city. And looking at GDP, the Northeast had a 1.65% average GDP gain in 2014. The SE had 1.7%, 0.5% higher. But the North still has a much higher GDP per capita and nominal GDP than the South and West. That's not going to suddenly vanish along with the snowbirds.
The North will be fine.
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