Wednesday Storm: How this for a January flip? Upton saying Thunder and High winds
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BULK OF THE RAIN OCCURRING LATE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY FOR WESTERN ZONES AND TRACKING EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. GFS HAS RAIN EXITING EASTERN ZONES BY EARLY MORNING WITH 12Z ECMWF HOLDING ON A BIT LONGER. THERE ARE TWO OTHER POTENTIAL ISSUES WITH THIS SYSTEM...THUNDER AND HIGH WINDS.
AT THIS TIME...CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH THAT A WIND ADVISORY WILL NEEDED FOR AT LEAST LONG ISLAND/THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CT. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE THAT IF THE MODELS COME INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT AND THE INVERSION THAT IS FORECAST IS A LITTLE WEAKER THEN CURRENTLY SHOWN...A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.
THUNDER IS ANOTHER POSSIBILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE COLD FRONT HAS STRONG LIFT...SOME INSTABILITY...GOOD INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND STRONGSHEAR. THERE COULD BE A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POSSIBILITY THAT THEY MIX DOWN SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS.
