Beginning and stages of the current phase crisis
Posted 05-28-2023 at 10:49 AM by ukrkoz
Gratitude to Sergei Pereslegin, the wise man
The first truly global crisis is, of course, the phase crisis in which we are now. A crisis, when it turns out that the economy is not at all what we have always understood by this word. A crisis, when all ways of life are changing in general, and not just technological ways, the change of which we seem to be observing. It is impossible to get out of the phase crisis without the complete destruction of those structures that govern society. More precisely, until these structures are replaced by new ones, it will be impossible to say that we have overcome the crisis. True, this crisis is developing relatively slowly, which allows us to see it and take steps to resolve it. The phase crisis separates the phases of human development. The essence of the phase crisis is the collision of the social system with the phase barrier
Phase barrier – occurring, when trying to switch to a new phase of development of society, the need for a costly and risky restructuring of social ties: personal, professional, confessional, etc. Implying breakdown of the legal system and underlying it moral basis.
An unsuccessful attempt to cross the barrier may result incivilizational rollback.
The following phase barriers are known:
· Between appropriating and producing economy, overcome in the course of neolithic revolution, which led to the establishment of the traditional stratum,
· industrial barrier between pre-industrial and industrial economy, overcome in the course of industrial revolution,
· post-industrial barrier before post-industrialism.
·
Following are the stages of the current developing phase crisis:
1. Asian economic crisis 1997-1998. Started with Indonesia, spread into Tailand, Maisia, S. Korea, spread into Japan, HGong Kong, Philippines, Malaysia, India and China. Long term result of it was decay of Japan, currently falling into the third rank country.
2. Economic crisis of 1998 in Russia, spread into Belarus, Kazakhstan and the rest of the ex Soviet republics, at lower rate. Russia defaulted on its financial obligations and that created a precedent to even possibility of such defaults (Current US default?). Default was based on existing military power and Russia being nuclear state, so that they could get away with it..
3. 1999. War in Yugoslavia. Result: creating precedent of the military force use without UN Security council consent. Hypothetically, public distraction from Clinton/Lewinski scandal. US attacks Kenia and Tanzania, in response to the US ambassies bombing, on August the 20th, exactly when Lewinski was testifying in front of the Grand Jury. Next Clinton operation is done December 16-20th, exactly during the impeachment hearing. As the result of destruction of Yugoslavia, Balkans end with a heating up source for potential major conflict (pay attention to currently developing conflict in Balkans!). Conflict is predicted to explode either right after the Russia/Ukraine conflict or, towards the end of its conclusion
4. 2001. Default in Argentina. Radical change in S Americas. Twin Towers 9-11 and dotcom crash. Dot.com crash initiated economic crisis is lasting into current times, clearly showing that it is not a cyclical crisis.
5. 2003. Iraq war. Result – radical Islamism and foundation of ISIS.
6. 2007-2008. Stock exchange panic in China flowing into the mortgage crisis in the US. That was the 2nd wave of the crisis, started by dot.com crash. Beginning of the global recession. Beginning of the large banks crisis and initiation of the money transfer from the large banks into the large funds, like Blackrock and Vanguard. New phase of the capital concentration and that concentration is outside of the states. First signs of the later “inclusive capitalism”.
7. 2008. “Olympic war”, conflict in Ossetia and Abkhazia. This is the first war with the Russia participation. At this point, Russia claims its global position as a player to be accounted with. Russia becomes an actor of the phase development destruction.
8. 2010-02011. Arab Spring. Regime changes in Egypt, Tunis, Libya, Yemen. Swap of liberal or relatively liberal regimes for radical Islamists ones. Civil wars in Iraq, Syria and Yemen. Civil war in Libya. Heating up of the entire Middle East. Liquidation of the Kaddafi’s very successful “green socialism” model. That meant end of the opportunities for development of “reasonable Islam”. Russia makes the 1st attempt to introduce national currency for international payments. Failed attempt of the colored revolution in Russia, leading to unexpected consolidation of the pro-national forces there.
9. 2012. Kyiv Maidan. First attempt to govern a territory by large corporations. Cell phones and company Huawei. Complete crowd tracking via cell phones. Google. New term – Googleteers, like puppeteers. Development of the world control idea, through IT, initiated in the 1970s by IBM, through its very strong connections with Google and other digital companies.
10. As the result, two primnary tracks of development: capital concentration in the large funds hands and IT attempt to control territories through super IT corporations, such as IBM. Example – Maidan and riots in Catalonia. Stirring up discontent, heating it up and developing riots under corporation control in the regions, poorly controlled by a state. Similar attempt in Kazakhstan in 2022. Result was so so but idea was tested and technologies developed and field tested/applied.
11. Russian Spring. Russia showed that not only it will not tolerate such attempts but, also, that it will use them for its own benefit, as souverain national state. Russia caught the entire West by surprise, stepping out with completely archaic idea of revival of the national sovereignty. Crimea is rejoined with Russia, LNR and DNR appear. Sanctions pressure on Russia.
12. 2015. Syria. Power show off between Russia/US and its satellites. Russia wins, Assad stays in power. Russia realizes its delay in the certain military components development, what slows down development in Ukraine and Russian involvement there.
13. 2015-2016 second wave of the stock exchange crashes in China.
14. 2020. COVID and closure of the world. Largest stock crash in the very long time. Negative demand for oil and crash of the oil prices. BLM. Beginning of the US vector towards the civil war.
15. COVID showed that technologies of the total global population control are working and can be implemented any time necessary.
16. 2022. War in Ukraine. Beginning of competition between the macro regions and break down of the one currency system globally. Creation of the macro regions and according multiple currencies of internal and external trade.
17. De-dollarization. CBDCs introduction, as another way to mass control globally. Breakdown of the world global banking system controlled from a single center. National banks crisis. Growing conflict in the USA between the “national” and “global” elites. US withdrawal from Afghanistan, as the first sign of the US withdrawal from a world gendarme position.
Fukushima. Damaged nuclear plant showed several things:
1. That such breakdown can happen in even the most developed countries, not just in backward Russia.
2. More importantly, it showed technological degradation. After the earthquake, cooling system lost power. Cooling system itself was intact. All that was necessary, was to start backup diesel generators and run cooling, allowing reactor to cool down. That was not being possible at the time for, apparently, lack of fuel. Normally, this is remedied by bringing a suitable size mobile generator, but, the connectors at the station and on the generator where not compatible. Apparently, how to flip 2 wires and make it work was beyond the expertise of the engineers, pointing towards inability to think and act out of the box in emergency situations. (as example, Nuclear Institute in Dubna has six reactors close by. They have backup generators designed to work even after the 50 magnitude earthquake and that is in zero seismic activity region)
Schwab and his book The Great Reset. Book was published 2 months after global pandemic announcement. It is standard across the entire global publishing industry, that print of a book takes 6 months average.With big money and effort, it can be reduced to 2 months. To WRITE a book and publish it in 2 months is physically impossible, which pints towards it being written BEFORE the pandemic was announced. With full knowledge of what is coming.
Sinking of cruiser Moscow. That military action revealed that, the traditional NAVY and other fleets became easy prey to missiles and marine drones. With small effort and technology development, a marine drone soon enough can be owned by a physical person. That brings a serious concern that, at any given time, marine logistics chains can be broken at will by a very small group of people. Single drone may not sink a tanker but, a dozen of them sure can. Thus, particularly in narrow straights and canals, global established logistics can be interrupted at any moment by whoever wants to do so.
Failure of the blitzkrieg operation by Russia in Ukraine. It showed that, previously existing concept of wars, done by small, mobile well trained and well-paid groups of soldiers, does not work. Same happened in Afghanistan. That failure resulted in mobilization on both sides and arming masses of conscripts. Also, it showed that the established military chains of command and supplies are not prepared to mobilizations ( in the USA, ongoing issue with recruiting new recruits). In a broad perspective, mobilization showed that, large armies are still required but, even more – that now large masses of population will be trained and ready for military action. That means, possibility of successful riots, when masses are brought to desperation.
Paris Conference on Climate Change. Declaring global climate program. Program that, from the standpoint of the classic science, is a lie. Yet, that program was accepted globally and became mandatory. With a well known fact that, the “green” energy is not capable of maintaining for existing needs least to say – for any developments. At the best, it can provide enough energy for maybe 2 billion population. That will lead to global hunger and hunger riots. “Green” movement though, can be considered a global weapon, bringing enemy territory to inability to even just feed its population, after all the “polluting” energy sources were shut down and transportation/logistics are shut down, being electric.
Pharmaceutical weapon. Outside of COVID, there are many common infectious diseases, easily treated with antibiotics. To name the few, plague, measles, cholera. Yes, they are all quite well treated with proper medications. If you have them. Except that very few countries in the world, actually, manufacture those medications. Hence, in case of another global lockdown, millions may die in certain areas, due to “hardship or inability to supply medication” because of that exactly lockdown.
STAGES OF THE CURRENT PHASE CRISIS
Phase barrier – occurring, when trying to switch to a new phase of development of society, the need for a costly and risky restructuring of social ties: personal, professional, confessional, etc. Implying breakdown of the legal system and underlying it moral basis.
An unsuccessful attempt to cross the barrier may result incivilizational rollback.
The following phase barriers are known:
· Between appropriating and producing economy, overcome in the course of neolithic revolution, which led to the establishment of the traditional stratum,
· industrial barrier between pre-industrial and industrial economy, overcome in the course of industrial revolution,
· post-industrial barrier before post-industrialism.
·
Following are the stages of the current developing phase crisis:
1. Asian economic crisis 1997-1998. Started with Indonesia, spread into Tailand, Maisia, S. Korea, spread into Japan, HGong Kong, Philippines, Malaysia, India and China. Long term result of it was decay of Japan, currently falling into the third rank country.
2. Economic crisis of 1998 in Russia, spread into Belarus, Kazakhstan and the rest of the ex Soviet republics, at lower rate. Russia defaulted on its financial obligations and that created a precedent to even possibility of such defaults (Current US default?). Default was based on existing military power and Russia being nuclear state, so that they could get away with it..
3. 1999. War in Yugoslavia. Result: creating precedent of the military force use without UN Security council consent. Hypothetically, public distraction from Clinton/Lewinski scandal. US attacks Kenia and Tanzania, in response to the US ambassies bombing, on August the 20th, exactly when Lewinski was testifying in front of the Grand Jury. Next Clinton operation is done December 16-20th, exactly during the impeachment hearing. As the result of destruction of Yugoslavia, Balkans end with a heating up source for potential major conflict (pay attention to currently developing conflict in Balkans!). Conflict is predicted to explode either right after the Russia/Ukraine conflict or, towards the end of its conclusion
4. 2001. Default in Argentina. Radical change in S Americas. Twin Towers 9-11 and dotcom crash. Dot.com crash initiated economic crisis is lasting into current times, clearly showing that it is not a cyclical crisis.
5. 2003. Iraq war. Result – radical Islamism and foundation of ISIS.
6. 2007-2008. Stock exchange panic in China flowing into the mortgage crisis in the US. That was the 2nd wave of the crisis, started by dot.com crash. Beginning of the global recession. Beginning of the large banks crisis and initiation of the money transfer from the large banks into the large funds, like Blackrock and Vanguard. New phase of the capital concentration and that concentration is outside of the states. First signs of the later “inclusive capitalism”.
7. 2008. “Olympic war”, conflict in Ossetia and Abkhazia. This is the first war with the Russia participation. At this point, Russia claims its global position as a player to be accounted with. Russia becomes an actor of the phase development destruction.
8. 2010-02011. Arab Spring. Regime changes in Egypt, Tunis, Libya, Yemen. Swap of liberal or relatively liberal regimes for radical Islamists ones. Civil wars in Iraq, Syria and Yemen. Civil war in Libya. Heating up of the entire Middle East. Liquidation of the Kaddafi’s very successful “green socialism” model. That meant end of the opportunities for development of “reasonable Islam”. Russia makes the 1st attempt to introduce national currency for international payments. Failed attempt of the colored revolution in Russia, leading to unexpected consolidation of the pro-national forces there.
9. 2012. Kyiv Maidan. First attempt to govern a territory by large corporations. Cell phones and company Huawei. Complete crowd tracking via cell phones. Google. New term – Googleteers, like puppeteers. Development of the world control idea, through IT, initiated in the 1970s by IBM, through its very strong connections with Google and other digital companies.
10. As the result, two primnary tracks of development: capital concentration in the large funds hands and IT attempt to control territories through super IT corporations, such as IBM. Example – Maidan and riots in Catalonia. Stirring up discontent, heating it up and developing riots under corporation control in the regions, poorly controlled by a state. Similar attempt in Kazakhstan in 2022. Result was so so but idea was tested and technologies developed and field tested/applied.
11. Russian Spring. Russia showed that not only it will not tolerate such attempts but, also, that it will use them for its own benefit, as souverain national state. Russia caught the entire West by surprise, stepping out with completely archaic idea of revival of the national sovereignty. Crimea is rejoined with Russia, LNR and DNR appear. Sanctions pressure on Russia.
12. 2015. Syria. Power show off between Russia/US and its satellites. Russia wins, Assad stays in power. Russia realizes its delay in the certain military components development, what slows down development in Ukraine and Russian involvement there.
13. 2015-2016 second wave of the stock exchange crashes in China.
14. 2020. COVID and closure of the world. Largest stock crash in the very long time. Negative demand for oil and crash of the oil prices. BLM. Beginning of the US vector towards the civil war.
15. COVID showed that technologies of the total global population control are working and can be implemented any time necessary.
16. 2022. War in Ukraine. Beginning of competition between the macro regions and break down of the one currency system globally. Creation of the macro regions and according multiple currencies of internal and external trade.
17. De-dollarization. CBDCs introduction, as another way to mass control globally. Breakdown of the world global banking system controlled from a single center. National banks crisis. Growing conflict in the USA between the “national” and “global” elites. US withdrawal from Afghanistan, as the first sign of the US withdrawal from a world gendarme position.
ADDENDUM
Fukushima. Damaged nuclear plant showed several things:
1. That such breakdown can happen in even the most developed countries, not just in backward Russia.
2. More importantly, it showed technological degradation. After the earthquake, cooling system lost power. Cooling system itself was intact. All that was necessary, was to start backup diesel generators and run cooling, allowing reactor to cool down. That was not being possible at the time for, apparently, lack of fuel. Normally, this is remedied by bringing a suitable size mobile generator, but, the connectors at the station and on the generator where not compatible. Apparently, how to flip 2 wires and make it work was beyond the expertise of the engineers, pointing towards inability to think and act out of the box in emergency situations. (as example, Nuclear Institute in Dubna has six reactors close by. They have backup generators designed to work even after the 50 magnitude earthquake and that is in zero seismic activity region)
Schwab and his book The Great Reset. Book was published 2 months after global pandemic announcement. It is standard across the entire global publishing industry, that print of a book takes 6 months average.With big money and effort, it can be reduced to 2 months. To WRITE a book and publish it in 2 months is physically impossible, which pints towards it being written BEFORE the pandemic was announced. With full knowledge of what is coming.
Sinking of cruiser Moscow. That military action revealed that, the traditional NAVY and other fleets became easy prey to missiles and marine drones. With small effort and technology development, a marine drone soon enough can be owned by a physical person. That brings a serious concern that, at any given time, marine logistics chains can be broken at will by a very small group of people. Single drone may not sink a tanker but, a dozen of them sure can. Thus, particularly in narrow straights and canals, global established logistics can be interrupted at any moment by whoever wants to do so.
Failure of the blitzkrieg operation by Russia in Ukraine. It showed that, previously existing concept of wars, done by small, mobile well trained and well-paid groups of soldiers, does not work. Same happened in Afghanistan. That failure resulted in mobilization on both sides and arming masses of conscripts. Also, it showed that the established military chains of command and supplies are not prepared to mobilizations ( in the USA, ongoing issue with recruiting new recruits). In a broad perspective, mobilization showed that, large armies are still required but, even more – that now large masses of population will be trained and ready for military action. That means, possibility of successful riots, when masses are brought to desperation.
Paris Conference on Climate Change. Declaring global climate program. Program that, from the standpoint of the classic science, is a lie. Yet, that program was accepted globally and became mandatory. With a well known fact that, the “green” energy is not capable of maintaining for existing needs least to say – for any developments. At the best, it can provide enough energy for maybe 2 billion population. That will lead to global hunger and hunger riots. “Green” movement though, can be considered a global weapon, bringing enemy territory to inability to even just feed its population, after all the “polluting” energy sources were shut down and transportation/logistics are shut down, being electric.
Pharmaceutical weapon. Outside of COVID, there are many common infectious diseases, easily treated with antibiotics. To name the few, plague, measles, cholera. Yes, they are all quite well treated with proper medications. If you have them. Except that very few countries in the world, actually, manufacture those medications. Hence, in case of another global lockdown, millions may die in certain areas, due to “hardship or inability to supply medication” because of that exactly lockdown.
