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Sat 16Sept TD15 becomes TS Nigel in the Atlantic. Satellite estimated winds 40mph(65km/h), moving NW 16mph(26km/h), pressure 1005mb. Expected to become a Hurricane as heads generally NW towards Bermuda but fairly good model agreement that will turn up and out to sea just before reaching there.
Mon 18Sept Satellite estimated winds 80mph(130km/h), moving NW 12mph(19km/h), pressure 982mb. Cat1 hurricane. Randomly firing / spinning storms. Forecast to safely turn north then NE well before Bermuda.
Remnants may bring some rains into the UK this weekend.
Wed 20Sept 5pEDT/AST: Winds 90mph(150km/h), moving NNE 18mph(30km/h), pressure 973mb. Looks like peaked at 100mph earlier. Made it's turn and out to sea. Still has a giant oversized eye!
Thurs 21Sept 5pEDT/AST: Winds 80mph(130km/h), really moving ENE 37mph(59km/h), pressure 977mb. Satellite appearance fading fast, high wind shearing pushing storms out ahead of the low level center, colder waters. Not much longer until NHC stops advisories.
Fri 22Sept: Post-Tropical Cyclone #Nigel North of The Azores lost tropical characteristics, NHC no longer issuing advisories (NHC archive: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/NIGEL.shtml? ). Wind shear pushed storms well ahead of the system which may increase rain chances this weekend Ireland, UK, Iceland region. Core merges with another Low at sea before likely pushes in later next week (just looking at models).
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